Lusitanos de Saint-Maur vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
9º
1º
15
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
95.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
95.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 39 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 36 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
66.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
64% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SML
3 - 2
DIJ
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AUX
0 - 1
SML
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SML
1 - 1
UST
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 0
SML
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SML
5 - 3
NEU
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 5
RAC
5%
13%
82%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
DIJ
0 - 0
FCG
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 0
ASP
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 3
SOC
4%
12%
85%
|
25 | 72 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AUX
1 - 0
FCG
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |