Lusitanos de Saint-Maur vs Bastia II analysis

Lusitanos de Saint-Maur Bastia II
41 ELO 30
-11% Tilt -17.5%
4494º General ELO ranking 7866º
95º Country ELO ranking 241º
ELO win probability
67.6%
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
17.5%
Draw
14.9%
Bastia II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.9%
Win probability
Bastia II
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
+38%
+14%
Bastia II

Points and table prediction

Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
Their league position
Bastia II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
10º
27
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Balagne
56
56
100%
St Geneviève
54
54
100%
Linas-Montlhery
45
45
100%
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
45
45
100%
Brétigny Foot
44
44
100%
Ivry
34
34
100%
Ajaccio II
33
33
100%
Orléans II
32
32
100%
Neuilly Sur Marne
29
29
100%
Bastia II
10º
27
27
10º
100%
Montrouge
11º
25
25
11º
100%
USM Saran
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Vitry
13º
23
23
13º
100%
Mainvilliers
14º
16
16
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
Bastia II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
Bastia II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2023
STG
St Geneviève
1 - 0
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
SML
48%
26%
26%
42 43 1 0
09 Sep. 2023
SML
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
2 - 0
Vitry
VTR
69%
17%
14%
41 30 11 +1
02 Sep. 2023
BAL
Balagne
4 - 0
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
SML
34%
27%
39%
44 36 8 -3
26 Aug. 2023
SML
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
1 - 0
Brétigny Foot
BRE
76%
15%
10%
44 30 14 0
03 Jun. 2023
SPI
Épinal
1 - 1
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
SML
73%
18%
9%
44 53 9 0

Matches

Bastia II
Bastia II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2023
BAS
Bastia II
1 - 1
Ivry
IVR
61%
19%
19%
30 26 4 0
10 Sep. 2023
SAR
USM Saran
2 - 0
Bastia II
BAS
24%
21%
56%
31 24 7 -1
02 Sep. 2023
BAS
Bastia II
0 - 0
Ajaccio II
AJA
36%
23%
41%
31 38 7 0
26 Aug. 2023
BAS
Bastia II
1 - 1
St Geneviève
STG
28%
23%
50%
31 43 12 0
20 May. 2017
SAE
Saint-Étienne II
2 - 1
Bastia II
BAS
64%
20%
17%
32 39 7 -1