Lusitanos de Saint-Maur vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
10º
4º
27
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STG
1 - 0
SML
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SML
2 - 0
VTR
69%
17%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 0
SML
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SML
1 - 0
BRE
76%
15%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SPI
1 - 1
SML
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
IVR
61%
19%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 0
BAS
24%
21%
56%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 0
AJA
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
STG
28%
23%
50%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SAE
2 - 1
BAS
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |