Lusitanos de Saint-Maur vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SML
1 - 1
ESW
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SML
5 - 0
FEI
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
OLY
2 - 3
SML
23%
21%
56%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SML
1 - 0
GRA
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LIL
2 - 1
SML
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 0
VCH
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 0
MAN
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ROY
1 - 1
ARR
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 1
LEN
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 2
ARR
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |