Mauaense vs Mauá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
50.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ECU
3 - 1
MAU
19%
20%
61%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
4 - 2
MAU
14%
19%
68%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
MAU
0 - 2
COL
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 1
MAU
52%
24%
25%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MAU
1 - 3
JAB
62%
22%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
NAC
15%
19%
66%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 2
RIO
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ECN
3 - 1
MFC
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
MFC
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 1
GRE
24%
23%
54%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |