Mauaense vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 1
MAU
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AEA
1 - 1
MAU
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAU
0 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MAU
0 - 1
COL
45%
23%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
MAU
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 0
UNI
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MFC
2 - 1
MAN
50%
25%
26%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ECU
4 - 0
MAN
41%
22%
38%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 3
PAU
20%
24%
56%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BEB
3 - 2
MAN
63%
21%
16%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |