Mauaense vs Guarulhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
MAU
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
MAU
6 - 2
MOG
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MAU
0 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BER
0 - 1
MAU
66%
19%
16%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MAU
1 - 0
JAB
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
MOG
1 - 5
GUA
13%
17%
70%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 2
BER
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 0
GUA
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
UNI
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |