Mauá vs Mauaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
MFC
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
MFC
17%
20%
63%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MFC
5 - 1
ECU
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
JAB
0 - 1
MFC
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAU
1 - 1
MFC
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
MAU
3 - 2
ECU
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MAU
1 - 2
NAC
11%
20%
70%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
JAB
3 - 1
MAU
43%
26%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MAU
1 - 1
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAU
1 - 1
MFC
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |