Mauá vs Mauaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
USA
1 - 2
MFC
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MFC
2 - 1
JAB
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FLA
2 - 0
MFC
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
MFC
65%
19%
17%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
MFC
0 - 1
GUA
29%
21%
50%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MAU
1 - 1
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAU
60%
21%
20%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MAU
0 - 3
USA
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
MAU
3 - 0
BAR
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
MFC
2 - 0
MAU
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |