Mauá vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
FLA
25%
26%
50%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TAN
2 - 0
MFC
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TUP
2 - 0
MFC
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 2
TUP
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 0
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ECU
4 - 0
MAN
41%
22%
38%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 3
PAU
20%
24%
56%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BEB
3 - 2
MAN
63%
21%
16%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
BEB
26%
25%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
4 - 2
MAU
33%
26%
41%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |