Mauá vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 5
MFC
37%
24%
40%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
CAT
1 - 1
MFC
63%
20%
18%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
VOC
25%
24%
50%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 0
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
ECU
0 - 4
MFC
17%
19%
64%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 5
MFC
37%
24%
40%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
VOC
1 - 0
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 3
CAT
25%
26%
50%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 4
MAN
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
FLA
24%
25%
51%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |