Mauá vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 1
MFC
41%
23%
37%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
MFC
2 - 1
GRE
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
MFC
1 - 1
AMP
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
AMP
0 - 1
MFC
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
MFC
0 - 0
JAB
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SAO
4 - 0
MAN
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 2
SAO
25%
23%
52%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
MAN
3 - 2
AAI
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
AAI
1 - 1
MAN
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
3 - 1
OSA
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |