Mauá vs Guarulhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
MFC
2 - 3
MAU
43%
27%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 3
MFC
28%
26%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
MFC
0 - 1
ECU
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 3
MFC
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
MAU
0 - 1
MFC
45%
25%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
FLA
0 - 0
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 4
IND
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
SAO
2 - 2
GUA
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
GUA
5 - 0
BAT
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 2
FLA
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |