Paulista B Knock-out stages Last 16
Global 0-1
Mauá vs Grêmio Sãocarlense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 0
MFC
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 1
MOG
74%
17%
10%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ECU
2 - 4
MFC
13%
18%
70%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
MFC
30%
22%
48%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 0
UNI
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 0
MFC
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 1
MOG
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 3
GDS
52%
23%
26%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 1
SAO
25%
23%
53%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 1
GDS
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |