Mauá vs ECUS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+289%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
MFC
1 - 0
BAT
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
BAT
0 - 1
MFC
54%
24%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
ECU
1 - 0
MFC
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
MFC
1 - 2
GUA
38%
25%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
MFC
2 - 3
MAU
43%
27%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ECU
4 - 1
GUA
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 2
ECU
46%
23%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
ECU
1 - 0
MFC
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
BAT
3 - 1
ECU
48%
23%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
ECU
2 - 1
MAN
46%
22%
33%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |