Matrei vs Kirchberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matrei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MAT
5 - 1
SVI
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
TEL
0 - 4
MAT
28%
24%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MAT
3 - 2
KIR
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
FUG
2 - 2
MAT
24%
23%
54%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MAT
4 - 4
SVL
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SCK
1 - 0
JEN
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
SVI
0 - 2
SCK
61%
21%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SCK
2 - 3
TEL
43%
24%
34%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
KIR
4 - 2
SCK
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
SCK
1 - 1
FUG
53%
22%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |