Matrei vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matrei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
STJ
4 - 1
MAT
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
MAT
1 - 1
KUN
55%
20%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
KEM
1 - 3
MAT
30%
22%
47%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAT
3 - 0
AXG
91%
6%
2%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
REI
3 - 0
MAT
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
SVI
4 - 1
KIR
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
KIT
1 - 1
KIR
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 2
KIR
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
KIR
2 - 5
STJ
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
KUN
3 - 0
KIR
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |