Matrei vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matrei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
FUG
2 - 2
MAT
24%
23%
54%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MAT
4 - 4
SVL
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
SVA
0 - 1
MAT
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MAT
2 - 2
IAC
60%
20%
21%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
KUN
1 - 2
MAT
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
KIR
4 - 2
SCK
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SVI
2 - 3
KIR
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
KIR
0 - 0
TEL
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
KIR
0 - 2
JEN
52%
23%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FUG
0 - 3
KIR
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |