Matrei vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matrei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SVA
1 - 1
MAT
19%
22%
59%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
MAT
4 - 0
SVK
54%
23%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
KUN
5 - 1
MAT
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
MAT
2 - 4
SVI
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
IAC
1 - 1
MAT
33%
23%
43%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
KIR
1 - 2
SVO
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
FCW
6 - 1
KIR
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
KIR
4 - 0
WOR
11%
18%
71%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | +8 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
RUI
1 - 1
KIR
70%
18%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
KIR
3 - 2
JEN
51%
23%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |