Matran vs FC Châtel-St-Denis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
68.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
16º
16º
40
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FAR
4 - 0
MAT
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 2
FCE
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MAT
2 - 2
FCP
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FRI
6 - 3
MAT
71%
15%
14%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MAT
1 - 1
DUD
8%
12%
80%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
FC Châtel-St-Denis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 4
ROM
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BBB
2 - 2
FCC
70%
16%
13%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCC
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
GUM
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 0
FCC
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |