Matoury vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matoury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CSC
0 - 0
MAT
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 2
SGE
53%
21%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
GEL
3 - 0
MAT
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 0
AGO
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
REM
1 - 2
MAT
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
BEZ
2 - 2
AVR
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
AVR
2 - 1
STL
41%
28%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
3 - 1
AVR
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
LYO
1 - 0
AVR
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
AVR
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |