Matonense vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
MAT
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 1
PAU
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAT
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 2
MAT
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 4
AGU
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MON
0 - 2
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
4 - 1
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
VEL
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
ATL
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |