Matonense vs Fernandópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 0
MAT
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 0
SER
50%
23%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 1
MAT
35%
26%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
ITA
61%
21%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
MAT
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
FER
4 - 2
GRÊ
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
FER
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FER
0 - 0
FLA
17%
22%
60%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
FER
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |