Mato Grosso EC vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mato Grosso EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
CUI
0 - 2
MGR
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MGR
1 - 1
MIX
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
URO
2 - 1
MGR
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MGR
1 - 0
RON
41%
23%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
MGR
2 - 0
CRA
36%
24%
41%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LUV
3 - 1
VIL
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CUI
2 - 2
VIL
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
MIX
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
LUV
3 - 0
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 3
LUV
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |