Matlock Town vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matlock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 3
MAT
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 0
DRO
82%
13%
5%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 0
KIN
29%
25%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
MAT
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
WOR
17%
20%
63%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SKE
2 - 0
BUX
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
BUX
0 - 4
FYL
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
KIN
3 - 1
BUX
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
ASH
2 - 0
BUX
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
BUX
1 - 2
RUS
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |