Matiguás vs Real Madriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
84.4%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.4%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
REA
4 - 1
SAB
42%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
DEP
0 - 1
REA
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
JAP
1 - 0
REA
33%
26%
42%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
REA
0 - 2
EST
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
REA
0 - 1
DIR
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |