Mathare United vs Tusker FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
44%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
WES
0 - 1
MAT
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
POS
1 - 1
MAT
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
MAT
2 - 0
SOF
27%
29%
44%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
MAT
1 - 2
THI
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
KAR
1 - 3
MAT
42%
30%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
TUS
23%
29%
48%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
TUS
2 - 0
POS
62%
25%
14%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
TUS
3 - 1
OSE
60%
25%
15%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
OSE
0 - 0
TUS
24%
28%
48%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
TUS
2 - 0
CHE
56%
26%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |