Mathare United vs AFC Leopards analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 0
MAT
45%
31%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 2
SOF
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SON
0 - 0
MAT
48%
29%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 1
MUH
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ULI
0 - 0
MAT
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 1
NAI
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
KRA
1 - 0
AFC
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 0
NAK
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 0
CHE
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 0
SON
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |