Mathare United vs AFC Leopards analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MAT
0 - 1
ULI
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
WES
1 - 1
MAT
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
MAT
1 - 3
SOF
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
KCB
1 - 1
MAT
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
MAT
1 - 1
GOR
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
RED
2 - 2
AFC
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
AFC
2 - 1
POS
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
NAI
0 - 1
AFC
50%
26%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
AFC
0 - 1
SON
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
THI
0 - 0
AFC
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |