Matera vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
MAT
3 - 2
REG
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
REN
2 - 0
MAT
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MAT
3 - 3
TRA
19%
25%
57%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
BIS
2 - 1
MAT
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 1
JUS
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 1
FRA
78%
16%
6%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 0
AKR
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
JUS
1 - 1
FRA
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 0
FCC
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SIR
1 - 0
FRA
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |