Matera vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
SAM
0 - 1
MAT
77%
15%
9%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
MAT
0 - 2
SPA
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
MAT
1 - 0
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
PIS
0 - 1
MAT
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
MAT
0 - 1
BAR
42%
25%
32%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
SSS
2 - 0
TER
40%
32%
29%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
PAL
0 - 0
SSS
67%
23%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
SSS
0 - 0
BRE
45%
32%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
TAR
2 - 1
SSS
55%
30%
15%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 2
CES
37%
32%
31%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |