Matera vs Sicula Leonzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
RIE
4 - 0
MAT
41%
25%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
MAT
0 - 6
REG
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
JUS
4 - 0
MAT
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
FCC
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PAG
2 - 2
MAT
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sicula Leonzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
SIC
0 - 2
VIT
33%
26%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
SIC
59%
25%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SIC
0 - 0
CAT
22%
26%
52%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
JUS
4 - 0
SIC
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SIC
1 - 2
REG
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |