Matera vs Progreditur Marcianise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
53.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
MAT
27%
24%
50%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 1
TAR
19%
25%
55%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MON
2 - 2
MAT
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 0
MAT
30%
25%
46%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 1
GEL
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
REA
0 - 0
MON
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
REA
4 - 1
GEL
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GLA
2 - 2
REA
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
REA
6 - 0
GRO
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
PUT
0 - 0
REA
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |