Matera vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
VNZ
3 - 1
MAT
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
MAT
29%
27%
45%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 1
LEC
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
JUS
1 - 2
MAT
44%
25%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 0
FIA
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
CAT
28%
28%
45%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 1
MON
42%
27%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
ASM
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 6
NUO
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
USV
2 - 2
MON
28%
27%
46%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |