Matera vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LCR
2 - 2
MAT
15%
22%
64%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 1
ISC
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PAG
4 - 0
MAT
21%
27%
53%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 3
ASM
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 2
MAT
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MON
4 - 0
JUS
28%
27%
46%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 2
MON
53%
26%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
CAS
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ISC
1 - 2
MON
33%
28%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
NUO
28%
28%
43%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |