Matera vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 3
FRA
52%
25%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GEL
1 - 1
MAT
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
6 - 0
GLA
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GRO
0 - 1
MAT
22%
25%
52%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 1
PUT
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
GEL
59%
23%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GLA
1 - 3
MON
23%
23%
54%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
GRO
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PUT
2 - 2
MON
26%
24%
51%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MON
4 - 0
SSE
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |