Matera vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
POM
0 - 4
MAT
64%
22%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MAT
2 - 1
GRO
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NAR
0 - 2
MAT
47%
25%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MAT
1 - 0
ACI
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 0
MAT
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
CAM
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
POT
0 - 2
MON
71%
19%
11%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
PUT
52%
24%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
MON
4 - 1
FCI
76%
17%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SSB
2 - 0
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |