Matera vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FCC
0 - 2
MAT
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
FON
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
SIR
1 - 2
MAT
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAG
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
MAT
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LEC
0 - 0
AKR
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
JUS
2 - 3
LEC
38%
26%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 2
SIC
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 1
BIS
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 3
LEC
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |