Matera vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
JUS
1 - 2
MAT
44%
25%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 0
FIA
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FON
1 - 1
MAT
29%
25%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
VNZ
37%
24%
39%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
5 - 1
MES
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 0
TAR
75%
16%
8%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 2
JUS
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NUO
0 - 0
LEC
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 0
FON
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
USF
3 - 0
LEC
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |