Matera vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAT
21%
26%
54%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
JUS
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 1
MAT
46%
27%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
MAT
68%
21%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 0
MAT
42%
29%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
NUO
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 3
LEC
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 1
LEC
20%
26%
55%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
MON
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
MAT
68%
21%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |