Matera vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
71.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
JUS
1 - 1
MAT
72%
17%
10%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 1
PAG
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 1
LRO
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 0
MAT
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MAT
3 - 0
SSM
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LEC
1 - 0
SSB
82%
14%
5%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LRO
2 - 1
LEC
12%
23%
66%
|
71 | 40 | 31 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 0
LEC
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LEC
5 - 0
FOL
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
FRO
3 - 1
LEC
37%
25%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |