Matera vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GLA
0 - 1
MAT
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
4 - 2
GRO
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PUT
2 - 1
MAT
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 0
SSE
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BRI
0 - 0
MAT
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FRA
3 - 0
GEL
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GEL
1 - 0
GLA
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 1
GEL
43%
26%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
GEL
0 - 1
PUT
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SSE
1 - 2
GEL
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |