Matera vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ISC
2 - 1
MAT
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MAT
0 - 1
FRA
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MAT
0 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FCT
0 - 2
MAT
35%
26%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MAT
0 - 0
POM
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GEL
2 - 3
POM
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ASF
0 - 0
GEL
64%
20%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GEL
3 - 1
ACC
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
USB
2 - 1
GEL
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
GEL
1 - 2
FRA
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |