Matera vs Città di Fasano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ACC
0 - 2
MAT
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MAT
2 - 0
USB
70%
19%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
FRA
3 - 7
MAT
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MAT
3 - 0
GRO
82%
12%
5%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1980 |
MAT
0 - 2
ATL
36%
32%
32%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
POM
3 - 2
ASF
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ASF
1 - 1
FCT
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ACC
1 - 3
ASF
27%
24%
48%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ASF
1 - 1
USB
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |