Matera vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
MAT
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +3 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 1
MAT
20%
26%
54%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
ASM
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ISC
1 - 2
MAT
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
MAT
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 2
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +3 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
COM
28%
28%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
COM
3 - 0
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
USA
0 - 1
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |