Matera vs Real Metapontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
REA
0 - 1
MAT
71%
19%
11%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 0
MAT
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 3
FRA
52%
25%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GEL
1 - 1
MAT
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Metapontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARM
3 - 0
GEL
31%
25%
44%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GLA
2 - 0
ARM
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARM
1 - 0
GRO
48%
23%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PUT
1 - 0
ARM
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 1
SSE
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |