Matera vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 2
JUS
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
MON
1 - 3
MAT
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 2
CAS
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 3
MAT
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
USF
0 - 1
MAT
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 3
USF
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 0
ASM
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 0
MES
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 2
MON
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
USV
1 - 1
ASM
39%
29%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |