Matera vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
11.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 2
MAT
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 0
MAR
69%
21%
10%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
JUS
1 - 1
MAT
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
FCC
57%
25%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 0
NUO
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 0
ASM
51%
26%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 1
FIA
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MES
1 - 0
ASM
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 1
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASM
76%
18%
7%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |