Matera vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FON
1 - 2
MAT
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MAT
0 - 2
VIG
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
LAT
1 - 1
MAT
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ACI
1 - 1
MAT
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
MAT
2 - 1
TRA
27%
27%
46%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ASM
4 - 0
FCC
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 2
TRA
30%
26%
44%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FON
3 - 2
ASM
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
POM
1 - 0
ASM
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ASM
1 - 1
BRI
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |