Matelica Calcio vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ASG
3 - 0
MAT
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MAT
5 - 1
FER
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CES
2 - 2
MAT
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MAT
4 - 1
PAD
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MAT
5 - 1
LEG
66%
19%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 0
RAV
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
LEG
1 - 1
SSS
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
VIS
1 - 3
SSS
24%
26%
51%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SSS
1 - 0
ARZ
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
PRG
1 - 1
SSS
76%
17%
8%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |