Matelica Calcio vs Sangiustese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
USN
0 - 3
MAT
7%
15%
78%
|
47 | 14 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 2
VIS
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
ALB
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MAT
13%
24%
63%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAT
3 - 2
ASD
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sangiustese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
PIN
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
AVE
0 - 0
SAN
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAN
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LAQ
2 - 1
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
REC
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |